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Global oil inventories are falling at a record pace as the Strait of Hormuz disruption removes around 13 million barrels per day of supply. While headline inventories remain high, usable stocks are being depleted rapidly. As inventories approach operational limits, the market's ability to absorb further shocks diminishes, increasing the risk of a sharp spike in oil prices.
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Global oil inventories are falling at a record pace as the Strait of Hormuz disruption removes around 13 million barrels per day of supply. While headline inventories remain high, usable stocks are being depleted rapidly. As inventories approach operational limits, the market's ability to absorb further shocks diminishes, increasing the risk of a sharp spike in oil prices.
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The Trump–Xi Beijing summit delivered managed stability, not structural change. Technology, critical minerals and Taiwan remain unresolved. For investors, two themes stand out: Western supply chain diversification in strategic metals and rare earths, and durable agricultural commodity exposure driven by food security and climate risk, not diplomacy.
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Agricultural commodities are re-rating in 2026 as two converging supply shocks — the Iran war's disruption to fertilizer flows through the Strait of Hormuz and a developing El Niño, compress production across grains, oilseeds, and softs simultaneously.
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Le premier trimestre 2026 a constitué un test en conditions réelles pour les investisseurs en matières premières : Le Venezuela, la volatilité du gaz naturel, un retournement brutal des métaux précieux et la guerre en Iran ont frappé simultanément. Dans ce contexte, WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity UCITS ETF (WCOA) a surperformé le Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) en s’appuyant sur des signaux forts, notamment dans l’énergie, tout en préservant une exposition large aux matières premières.
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Les perspectives de l’argent dépendent moins de ses fondamentaux propres que de sa relation avec l’or. Si la faiblesse de la demande industrielle et joaillière ainsi que des flux d’investissement modérés peuvent constituer des vents contraires à court terme, ces facteurs ne devraient pas l’emporter sur un contexte macroéconomique favorable aux métaux précieux. Le marché restant en déficit et les moteurs structurels de la demande demeurant intacts, l’argent reste bien positionné pour bénéficier d’un potentiel de hausse supplémentaire, malgré une volatilité persistante.
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Cotton has surged to two-year highs, driven by a structural shift from surplus to deficit, Iran-war-related polyester cost pressures, and a surge in speculative positioning. With global output falling ~4%, Chinese supply down 10%, and El Niño risk rising, the supply-demand balance is tightening materially.
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