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THE WisdomTree BLOG

Jesper Koll / Macro Alerts, Japan 07 Aug 2017

Team Abe 3.0: ein neues Kabinett für eine neue Politik

Jesper Koll

Premierminister Abe hat sein neues Kabinett vorgestellt. Dies ist nunmehr Abes dritte Führungsmannschaft, seit er im Dezember 2012 Premierminister geworden ist, und wie seine vorherigen wird auch diese von seinen engsten Vertrauten dominiert. Ausserdem haben sich die Schlüsselpositionen nicht verändert: Asō bleibt weiterhin Finanzminister, Seko Wirtschaftsminister und Suga Kabinettssekretär. Ich gehe davon aus, dass dieses neue Kabinett bis Oktober einen weiteren Nachtragshaushalt in Höhe von rund 5 Billionen JPY vorlegen wird, der sich verstärkt auf die Unterstützung von Frauen, Familien und älteren Menschen konzentriert.

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WisdomTree / Macro Alerts, Japan, FX / Currency Hedging 20 Jul 2017

Japan führend beim Dividendenwachstum auf internationalen Märkten

WisdomTree

Einmal im Jahr führt WisdomTree eine Anpassung seiner nach Dividenden gewichteten Aktienindizes durch. Hierbei werden Positionen auf der Grundlage von Veränderungen in den relativen Bewertungen korrigiert. Wir messen diese relativen Bewertungen, indem wir die Aktienkursbewegungen mit den Fundamentaldaten auf den internationalen Märkten vergleichen. Die primäre Variable, die wir bei unseren breit aufgestellten Indexstrategien verwenden, ist der Dividend Stream® eines Unternehmens.

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Jesper Koll / Macro Alerts, Japan 29 Jun 2017

Japan's pro-growth agenda—how "Abe-ism" will re-ignite "Abenomics"

Jesper Koll

After a period of relative calm and no new initiatives, Japanese politics is poised to move back into global headlines in the coming months. This is because Prime Minister Abe has now presented a concrete timeline for reforming Japan’s constitution: the goal is to clear all the necessary Parliamentary hurdles by next summer (2018) so that the required national referendum can be called before end-2018. 

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Nizam Hamid / Macro Alerts, Japan 15 Jun 2017

Chinesische A-Aktien und MSCI - was ändert sich?

Nizam Hamid

Im Hinblick auf globale Aktien-Vergleichsindizes waren chinesische A-Aktien für einige Anleger, was die Zugänglichkeit des Marktes und die Index-Aufnahme anbetrifft, problematisch. 

 

Die Entwicklung der relativ restriktiven Systeme für qualifizierte ausländische institutionelle Investoren in Verbindung mit den relativ neuen Stock Connect-Systemen sowohl für Aktien der Börse in Shanghai als auch für Aktien der Börse in Shenzhen hat die Fähigkeit der Anleger, mit A-Aktien zu handeln, erheblich verändert. Diese Maßnahmen haben ein Umfeld für einen flexibleren Marktzugang geschaffen, mit dem sich die Wahrscheinlichkeit erhöht, dass MSCI A-Aktien auf geänderter und beschränkter Basis in ihre Vergleichsindices aufnehmen kann. Es ist wichtig, darauf hinzuweisen, dass der gegenwärtige Vorschlag sich von den früheren Versuchen wesentlich unterscheidet und lediglich eine maßvolle Aufnahme von A-Aktien – im Gegensatz zu einem umfassenden Zugang – ermöglicht. 

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Jesper Koll / Macro Alerts, Japan 13 Jun 2017

Homegrown strength: Japan's CAPEX cycle accelerates

Jesper Koll

Our structural bull-thesis for Japan calls for an endogenous, self-sustaining domestic demand up-cycle that is driven by Japan’s private sector. Demographics is the key force – for households, the structural shortage of labour will be pushing up incomes and improving job security, thus creating purchasing power for a “new middle class”; and for companies, the scarcity of human capital will force a shift towards more capital-intensive business models, i.e. a structural up-turn in business investment to improve the quality of the domestic capital stock. Also, M&A activity is poised to pick-up, with the scarcity of human capital forcing fundamental industrial reorganization. Clear-speakJapan’s productivity is ready for a positive super-cycle, which should translate into a structural up-turn in capital returns. 

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Jesper Koll / Japan, Macro Alerts 26 Apr 2017

Japan outlook—Show me the money

Jesper Koll

We maintain our view that Japanese risk assets—equities and real estate—are on track for a multiyear structural bull market. We believe 2017 is poised to bring a positive reversal of earnings momentum, with a pickup in top-line sales growth and a weaker currency capable of delivering 25% to 30% earnings growth (after last year’s drop of around 8%, calendar year). Given the relatively attractive valuation backdrop—TOPIX is trading at a modest discount to its 10-year averages on both trailing and forward P/E multiples—the rising visibility of earnings is likely to be the principal driver of Japan’s market performance. In contrast, we expect policy action and initiatives to be relatively less important market drivers for Japan, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to stay put and maintain its zero-rate 10-year bond yield target for the foreseeable future.

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Jesper Koll / Japan, Macro Alerts 13 Apr 2017

Pivot to the Pacific? Is it “risk on” Asia?

Jesper Koll

“Team Trump” demonstrated exemplary global economic leadership skills at last week’s Summit between President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping. Most importantly, both leaders agreed to a concrete agenda of dialogue and engagement: At the working level, both nations committed to a “100-day plan” to address bi-lateral trade issues, with progress overseen by the two Presidents directly; and at the top level, President Trump accepted President Xi’s invitation for a follow-on bi-lateral Summit in China sometime later this year. 

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Nizam Hamid / Macro Alerts, Japan, Equities 15 Mrz 2017

Japanische Exporteure übertreffen Erwartungen angesichts eines schwachen Yen

Nizam Hamid

In den vergangenen sechs Monaten wurde die Performance japanischer Aktien durch die starke Abwertung des Yen gegenüber dem US-Dollar angetrieben. Nachdem der Yen noch im September 2016 auf einem Niveau von fast 100 Yen/USD stagnierte, führte die rapide Wertsteigerung des US-Dollar im Nachgang der Wahlen zu einer schnellen Wertminderung des Yen auf über 118 Yen zum US-Dollar. Unlängst bewegte er sich im Bereich um 115 Yen.1

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Jesper Koll / Macro Alerts, Japan, US 07 Feb 2017

Trump's America & Abe's Japan - Concrete Proposals

Jesper Koll
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is poised to be the first global leader to present President Trump with a concrete policy proposal that is designed to shape and promote Trump’s “America First” agenda and, at the same time, to advance the US-Japan alliance. After meeting the then President-elect for the first time on November 17, Abe will meet Trump for the second time on 10-11 February and PM Abe appears very determined to impress the President by offering a concrete “deal” so that both countries can move from talk to action. If, as we suspect, the meeting goes well, the implications are poised to be positive for US-Japan economic and financial relations.
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Jesper Koll / Macro Alerts, Japan, US 10 Nov 2016

Japan is ready for Trump

Jesper Koll
Against the initial risk-off shock reaction in Japanese markets, I think Japan is actually well prepared for a Trump Presidency. In my view, Team Abe will surprise by speedy and constructive counter policy - a sizable fiscal "war chest" has been put aside already, de-facto monetized by a BoJ committed to cap borrowing costs at zero percent.
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Nick Leung

Research Analyst

Nick ist als Research Analyst bei WisdomTree Europe tätig und in erster Linie für das Verfassen von volkswirtschaftlichen Kommentaren, Analysen, Investment Strategien und Trading Ideen verantwortlich. Bevor Nick im Jahr 2015 zu WisdomTree Europe kam, war er bei Source tätig. Die Zeit davor hat er seinen Master am Imperial College London abgeschlossen und begleitend Unilever bei einem Eiscreme Projekt unterstützt. Nick hat zudem einen BA in Economics von der University of Nottingham.

Nizam Hamid

ETF Strategist

Nizam Hamid is an ETF Strategist for WisdomTree in Europe and has extensive experience in the European ETF market. Prior to this he was at C8 Investments, a systematic hedge fund, focusing on business development and quantitative strategies, before that he was a consultant at FTSE. From 2010 to 2012, he was Head of ETF Strategy and Deputy Head of Lyxor ETFs, at the time Europe’s second largest ETF issuer. Before joining Lyxor he was Head of Sales Strategy for the Europe and the Middle East at iShares in London. Prior to that, he was Global Head of ETFs, Portfolio and Index Strategy at Deutsche Bank from 1998 to 2008. He has also worked as a quantitative analyst in London and Tokyo for UBS, BZW and Bankers Trust / NatWest Markets. He holds a Degree in Economics from the University of Liverpool.

Viktor Nossek

Director of Research

Viktor, who has over 14 years’ experience in research, joined the firm from Renaissance Asset Managers where he was Head of Research. Viktor provides macro research on various themes covering equities, commodities and fixed income. His research for WisdomTree in Europe offers investment strategies for the current range of Smart Beta UCITS ETFs as well as the Boost range of short and leveraged Exchange Traded Notes. Viktor has previously worked as a Research Analyst at BlackRock and Thomson Financial. He started his career as an Equity Strategist at Commerzbank, after he completed a Masters in Economics from Maastricht University, in the Netherlands.

Jesper Koll

WisdomTree's Head of Japan

Jesper Koll was appointed Chief Executive Officer of WisdomTree Japan on July 1, 2015. Over the past two decades Jesper has been consistently ranked as one of the top Japan strategists/economists, working as Chief Strategist and Head of Research for major U.S. investment banks J.P. Morgan and Merrill Lynch. His analysis and insights have earned him a position on several Japanese government advisory committees and Jesper is also one of the few non-Japanese members of the Keizai Doyukai, the Japan Association of Corporate Executives. He has written two books in Japanese, Towards a New Japanese Golden Age and The End of Heisei Deflation. After arriving in Japan in 1986 Jesper initially worked as an aide to a Member of Parliament. Jesper has a Masters degree from the School of Advanced and International Studies at Johns Hopkins University and was a research fellow at both Tokyo University and Kyoto University. He is a graduate of the Lester B. Pearson College of the Pacific.

Vania Pang

Capital Markets and Investment Solutions, Index and Quantitative Investment, ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management (International) Company Limited

Ms. Pang is responsible for Capital Markets and Investment Solutions functions of the Index and Quantitative Investment department at the ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management (International) Company Limited. From 2012 to 2016, Ms. Pang was the Vice President of Corporate Strategy and Development, Asia Coal Limited, where she led the strategic mergers and acquisitions, capital raising and investor relations management. Prior to that, she was the Associate Director, Business Development of Crown One Asset Management Company Limited, responsible for sales and marketing of fund products. Between 2007 and 2008, Ms. Pang was Assistant Manager, Public Distribution Hong Kong (Equity Derivatives and Private Investor Product Sales) of RBS, handling sales and marketing of listed equity derivatives products. Before joining RBS, she was an anchor and reporter with the Cable TV and Hong Kong Economic Journal.

Ms. Pang holds a M.Sc. in Development Finance from The University of Manchester, a M.A. in Journalism and a B.A. in Business Administration from The Chinese University of Hong Kong. 

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